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Sassuolo vs Padova

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Lauriente A.
8' Event
Lauriente A.
22' Event
Bortolussi M.

AI Match Summary

Sassuolo in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sassuolo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sassuolo
20%
Draws
33%
Padova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sassuolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sassuolo have won more games recently than Padova.
  • Win probability leans Sassuolo's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sassuolo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 16%
Padova Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassuolo Padova
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Sassuolo vs Padova
4:1
Jul 31, 2024 Club Friendly
Sassuolo vs Padova
1:0
May 6, 2013 Serie B
Sassuolo vs Padova
1:1
Dec 15, 2012 Serie B
Padova vs Sassuolo
1:3
May 1, 2012 Serie B
Padova vs Sassuolo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauriente A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moro L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Padova Compare

Top Goalscorer Bortolussi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo 48 / 100
Padova 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassuolo Padova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sassuolo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sassuolo scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Padova has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Sassuolo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo VS Padova
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo

(Home)
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Sassuolo
3 : 2
Juventus
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
02 Sept
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Frosinone
29 Aug
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Torino
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Padova

(Away)
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
29 Aug
Padova
1 : 1
Verona
23 Aug
Pisa
0 : 1
Padova
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