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Sassuolo vs Padova

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Lauriente A.
8' Event
Lauriente A.
22' Event
Bortolussi M.

AI Match Summary

Sassuolo in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sassuolo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sassuolo
33%
Draws
27%
Padova
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sassuolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sassuolo have won more games recently than Padova.
  • Win probability leans Sassuolo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sassuolo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 20%
Padova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassuolo Padova
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Sassuolo vs Padova
4:1
Jul 31, 2024 Club Friendly
Sassuolo vs Padova
1:0
May 6, 2013 Serie B
Sassuolo vs Padova
1:1
Dec 15, 2012 Serie B
Padova vs Sassuolo
1:3
May 1, 2012 Serie B
Padova vs Sassuolo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauriente A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moro L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Padova Compare

Top Goalscorer Bortolussi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo 40 / 100
Padova 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassuolo Padova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sassuolo scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Padova has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Padova registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo VS Padova
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo

(Home)
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 0
Sassuolo
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
24 May
Parma
1 : 0
Sassuolo
17 May
Sassuolo
2 : 3
Lecce
08 May
Torino
2 : 1
Sassuolo
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Padova

(Away)
25 Jul
Padova
1 : 3
Ospitaletto
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
08 May
Cesena
3 : 4
Padova
01 May
Padova
1 : 0
Pescara
25 Apr
Entella
1 : 0
Padova
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