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Saudi Arabia U22 vs Iraq U22

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U22 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Iraq U22 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Saudi Arabia U22
15%
Draws
47%
Iraq U22
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iraq U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Iraq U22 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Iraq U22 a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Iraq U22 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Iraq U22, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Saudi Arabia U22 Clean Sheet 16%
Iraq U22 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saudi Arabia U22 Iraq U22
Matches Played 11 11
Wins 8 9
Draws 1 2
Losses 2 0
Goals Scored 2.18 1.91
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2014 AFC Asian Cup U23
Saudi Arabia U22 vs Iraq U22
0:1
Jan 12, 2014 AFC Asian Cup U23
Saudi Arabia U22 vs Iraq U22
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saudi Arabia U22 28 / 100
Iraq U22 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saudi Arabia U22 Iraq U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraq U22 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saudi Arabia U22 scored in 91% of their last 11 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Saudi Arabia U22 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Iraq U22 has conceded goals in 45% of their last 11 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saudi Arabia U22 VS Iraq U22
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saudi Arabia U22

(Home)
26 Jan
Saudi Arabia U22
0 : 1
Iraq U22
23 Jan
Jordan U22
1 : 3
Saudi Arabia U22
20 Jan
Australia U22
1 : 2
Saudi Arabia U22
16 Jan
Saudi Arabia U22
1 : 0
Uzbekistan U22
14 Jan
China U22
1 : 2
Saudi Arabia U22
Page 1 of 3

Iraq U22

(Away)
26 Jan
Saudi Arabia U22
0 : 1
Iraq U22
23 Jan
South Korea U22
0 : 1
Iraq U22
20 Jan
Iraq U22
1 : 0
Japan U22
16 Jan
China U22
0 : 1
Iraq U22
14 Jan
Iraq U22
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U22
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Jordan U22 1
United Arab Emirates U22 0
Australia U22 1
Saudi Arabia U22 2
Syria U22 1
South Korea U22 2
Iraq U22 1
Japan U22 0
Semi-finals
Jordan U22 1
Saudi Arabia U22 3
South Korea U22 0
Iraq U22 1
Final
Saudi Arabia U22 0
Iraq U22 1
Jordan U22 1
South Korea U22 0