Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saudi Arabia U23 vs Iraq U23

Asia Asia

Arabian Gulf Cup U23
Saudi Arabia U23 Logo

Saudi Arabia U23

2 - 0
FT
Iraq U23 Logo

Iraq U23

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Al Ghamdi R.
44'
Abdulkareem H.
49' Event
Al Aliwa A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Saudi Arabia U23
20%
Draws
15%
Iraq U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saudi Arabia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Iraq U23 haven't matched Saudi Arabia U23's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Saudi Arabia U23 taking it.
  • Saudi Arabia U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iraq U23, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Saudi Arabia U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Iraq U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saudi Arabia U23 Iraq U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 1 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 16, 2025 Arabian Gulf Cup U23
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Iraq U23
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 Friendly International
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Iraq U23
0:1
Apr 22, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U23
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Iraq U23
1:2
Mar 26, 2022 Friendly International
Iraq U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
1:2
Oct 10, 2021 WAFF Championship U23
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Iraq U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saudi Arabia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ghamdi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Aliwa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Iraq U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saudi Arabia U23 95 / 100
Iraq U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saudi Arabia U23 Iraq U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saudi Arabia U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saudi Arabia U23 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Iraq U23 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Saudi Arabia U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saudi Arabia U23 VS Iraq U23
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saudi Arabia U23

(Home)
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
12 Jan
Saudi Arabia U23
0 : 1
Vietnam U23
09 Jan
Jordan U23
3 : 2
Saudi Arabia U23
06 Jan
Saudi Arabia U23
1 : 0
Kyrgyzstan U23
16 Dec
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Iraq U23
Page 1 of 6

Iraq U23

(Away)
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
Thailand U23
1 : 1
Iraq U23
08 Jan
Iraq U23
0 : 0
China U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Saudi Arabia U23 2
United Arab Emirates U23 0
Iraq U23 2
Qatar U23 1
Final
Saudi Arabia U23 2
Iraq U23 0