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Saudi Arabia U23 vs Qatar U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games Paloma Mizuho Stadium, Nagoya
Saudi Arabia U23 Logo

Saudi Arabia U23

2 - 0
FT
Qatar U23 Logo

Qatar U23

Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Al Yahri N.
35'
Sub
Al Hussain A. In: Alyami S.
Out: Al Hussain A.
38' Event
Barnawi M.
Assist: Dahal S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Asian Games game between Saudi Arabia U23 and Qatar U23 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saudi Arabia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Saudi Arabia U23
20%
Draws
32%
Qatar U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saudi Arabia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saudi Arabia U23 come out ahead of Qatar U23 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Saudi Arabia U23 a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Saudi Arabia U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Qatar U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saudi Arabia U23 Qatar U23
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 19 11
Draws 2 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.61 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Asian Games
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Qatar U23
2:0
Dec 11, 2025 Arabian Gulf Cup U23
Qatar U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
1:1
Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Qatar U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
0:1
Jan 14, 2024 Friendly International
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Qatar U23
0:0
Mar 28, 2023 Friendly International
Qatar U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saudi Arabia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Barnawi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Houssa E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Qatar U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saudi Arabia U23 85 / 100
Qatar U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saudi Arabia U23 Qatar U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saudi Arabia U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saudi Arabia U23 found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (36 games).

Defensive concern: Qatar U23 conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Qatar U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Saudi Arabia U23 VS Qatar U23
0.83 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Saudi Arabia U23

(Home)
25 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
22 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
12 Jan
Saudi Arabia U23
0 : 1
Vietnam U23
09 Jan
Jordan U23
3 : 2
Saudi Arabia U23
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Qatar U23

(Away)
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
15 Sept
Qatar U23
1 : 4
South Korea U23
06 Sept
Al Waab
1 : 1
Qatar U23
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0
Qatar U23
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1
Qatar U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Thailand U23 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
4 Hong Kong U23 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 North Korea U23 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Iran U23 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 United Arab Emirates U23 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Vietnam U23 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Philippines U23 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Kuwait U23 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Saudi Arabia U23 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Qatar U23 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)