Sport Picks

Asia

Arabian Gulf Cup 2024 Jaber Al Ahmad International Stadium

Bahrain

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Saudi Arabia play Bahrain in the Arabian Gulf Cup 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Saudi Arabia averaged 1 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Bahrain averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. In past meetings, Saudi Arabia won 2, Bahrain won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 5, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.33 for Saudi Arabia and 1.10 for Bahrain. This points to a Saudi Arabia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Saudi Arabia

21%

Draws

33%

Bahrain

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Saudi Arabia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Saudi Arabia picked up more points recently compared to Bahrain.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.33 vs 1.10 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Saudi Arabia Clean Sheet 22%

Bahrain Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Saudi Arabia	Bahrain
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	11	8
Draws	8	5
Losses	12	16
Goals Scored	1	0.93
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.62
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2025 World Championship

Bahrain vs Saudi Arabia

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Dec 22, 2024 Arabian Gulf Cup

Saudi Arabia vs Bahrain

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 2 - 0

2:3

Oct 15, 2024 World Championship

Saudi Arabia vs Bahrain

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Dec 8, 2019 Arabian Gulf Cup

Bahrain vs Saudi Arabia

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Nov 30, 2019 Arabian Gulf Cup

Bahrain vs Saudi Arabia

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 3 - 0

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saudi Arabia Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Juwayr M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Bahrain Compare

Top Goalscorer Abduljabbar M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Humaidan M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.75

Avg xA / game 0.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saudi Arabia 46 / 100

Bahrain 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Saudi Arabia Bahrain

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Saudi Arabia or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Saudi Arabia attacking → ← attacking Bahrain

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saudi Arabia scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Bahrain let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Saudi Arabia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bahrain lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 29

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.83

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.67

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Oman	3	1	2	0	4:3	5
2	Kuwait	3	1	2	0	4:3	5
3	United Arab Emirates	3	0	2	1	3:4	2
4	Qatar	3	0	2	1	3:4	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Bahrain	3	2	1	6:4	6
2	Saudi Arabia	3	2	1	8:6	6
3	Iraq	3	1	2	2:5	3
4	Yemen	3	1	2	4:5	3