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Stadium Background

Saudi Arabia vs USA

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX
Saudi Arabia Logo

Saudi Arabia

0 - 1
FT
USA Logo

USA

Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Sub
Yahya A. In: Al Shehri S.
Out: Yahya A.
58'
Sub
Al Hassan A. In: Ali M.
Out: Al Hassan A.
62'
Sub
McGlynn J. In: Downs D.
Out: McGlynn J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Saudi Arabia
30%
Draws
42%
USA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • USA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on USA taking it.
  • USA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor USA, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Saudi Arabia Clean Sheet 11%
USA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saudi Arabia USA
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 7 1
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2025 Gold Cup
Saudi Arabia vs USA
0:1
Sep 27, 2022 Friendly International
USA vs Saudi Arabia
0:0
Aug 4, 1999 FIFA Confederations Cup
USA vs Saudi Arabia
2:0
Oct 15, 1992 FIFA Confederations Cup
USA vs Saudi Arabia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saudi Arabia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

USA Compare

Top Goalscorer Richards C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saudi Arabia 18 / 100
USA 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saudi Arabia USA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: USA conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Saudi Arabia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Saudi Arabia scored in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saudi Arabia VS USA
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Saudi Arabia

(Home)
27 Jun
Cape Verde
0 : 0
Saudi Arabia
21 Jun
Spain
4 : 0
Saudi Arabia
15 Jun
Saudi Arabia
1 : 1
Uruguay
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia
0 : 0
Senegal
05 Jun
Puerto Rico
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia
Page 1 of 6

USA

(Away)
07 Jul
USA
1 : 4
Belgium
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2
USA
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0
Australia
13 Jun
USA
4 : 1
Paraguay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Costa Rica 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
3 Dominican Republic 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Suriname 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Honduras 3 2 0 1 4:7 6
3 Curacao 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 El Salvador 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Guatemala 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Jamaica 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Guadeloupe 3 0 0 3 5:10 0
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Saudi Arabia 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Trinidad & Tobago 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
4 Haiti 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)