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Saurimo vs ASA

Angola Angola

Girabola 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Girabola 2018/2019 game between Saurimo and ASA finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saurimo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Saurimo
20%
Draws
50%
ASA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ASA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Saurimo have managed 0.67 goals a game lately — ASA are scoring more at 0.83.
  • Win probability leans Saurimo's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Saurimo Clean Sheet 18%
ASA Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saurimo ASA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.67 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2019 Girabola
ASA vs Saurimo
1:0
Jan 21, 2019 Girabola
Saurimo vs ASA
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saurimo 49 / 100
ASA 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saurimo ASA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saurimo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASA let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Saurimo scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Saurimo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saurimo VS ASA
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Saurimo

(Home)
19 May
Academica
2 : 0
Saurimo
11 May
Saurimo
3 : 2
Santa Rita
05 May
Interclube
1 : 0
Saurimo
01 May
Saurimo
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
27 Apr
ASA
1 : 0
Saurimo
Page 1 of 6

ASA

(Away)
18 May
ASA
1 : 1
Caala
11 May
Sporting de Cabinda
6 : 2
ASA
27 Apr
ASA
1 : 0
Saurimo
24 Apr
Petro Atletico
3 : 0
ASA
20 Apr
ASA
1 : 1
C.R.D. Libolo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Primeiro de Agosto 30 20 10 0 51:9 70
2 Petro Atletico 30 19 7 4 40:15 64
3 Desportivo Huila 30 15 8 7 36:25 53
4 Kabuscorp 30 13 10 7 35:26 49
5 Interclube 30 10 12 8 26:22 42
6 Sagrada 30 10 11 9 31:26 41
7 Progresso Sambizanga 30 9 13 8 33:29 40
8 C.R.D. Libolo 30 10 9 11 31:30 39
9 Caala 30 8 13 9 29:33 37
10 Bravos do Maquis 30 7 16 7 28:27 37
11 Santa Rita 30 8 8 14 32:41 32
12 Academica 30 7 10 13 23:29 31
13 Sporting de Cabinda 30 6 12 12 30:43 30
14 Cuando Cubango FC 30 6 8 16 30:51 26
15 ASA 30 5 11 14 25:47 26
16 Saurimo 30 5 6 19 20:47 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)