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Saurimo vs Caala

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Girabola 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The Girabola 2018/2019 game between Saurimo and Caala finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Saurimo
15%
Draws
59%
Caala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Caala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Girabola 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Saurimo Clean Sheet 20%
Caala Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saurimo Caala
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.67 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2019 Girabola
Saurimo vs Caala
1:1
Dec 26, 2018 Girabola
Caala vs Saurimo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saurimo 32 / 100
Caala 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saurimo Caala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Saurimo's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Caala conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Saurimo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caala
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Saurimo

(Home)
19 May
Academica
2 : 0
Saurimo
11 May
Saurimo
3 : 2
Santa Rita
05 May
Interclube
1 : 0
Saurimo
01 May
Saurimo
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
27 Apr
ASA
1 : 0
Saurimo
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Caala

(Away)
13 Sept
Caala
1 : 2
Desportivo Huila
05 Sept
CD Lunda Sul
1 : 2
Caala
27 Aug
Caala
1 : 2
Wiliete
23 Aug
FC Luanda
0 : 0
Caala
29 May
Caala
1 : 0
Academica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Primeiro de Agosto 30 20 10 0 51:9 70
2 Petro Atletico 30 19 7 4 40:15 64
3 Desportivo Huila 30 15 8 7 36:25 53
4 Kabuscorp 30 13 10 7 35:26 49
5 Interclube 30 10 12 8 26:22 42
6 Sagrada 30 10 11 9 31:26 41
7 Progresso Sambizanga 30 9 13 8 33:29 40
8 C.R.D. Libolo 30 10 9 11 31:30 39
9 Caala 30 8 13 9 29:33 37
10 Bravos do Maquis 30 7 16 7 28:27 37
11 Santa Rita 30 8 8 14 32:41 32
12 Academica 30 7 10 13 23:29 31
13 Sporting de Cabinda 30 6 12 12 30:43 30
14 Cuando Cubango FC 30 6 8 16 30:51 26
15 ASA 30 5 11 14 25:47 26
16 Saurimo 30 5 6 19 20:47 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)