Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sava Strmec vs Bednja Beletinec

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kizlin S.
10' Event
Plojovic-Berisha D.
49' Event
Zuti L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-6, with Bednja Beletinec advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sava Strmec
15%
Draws
52%
Bednja Beletinec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bednja Beletinec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bednja Beletinec come out ahead of Sava Strmec on wins alone.
  • Bednja Beletinec are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Bednja Beletinec arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bednja Beletinec, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sava Strmec Clean Sheet 10%
Bednja Beletinec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sava Strmec Bednja Beletinec
Matches Played 4 13
Wins 1 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.31
Goals Conceded 4.75 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2022 Croatian Cup
Sava Strmec vs Bednja Beletinec
4:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sava Strmec Compare

Top Goalscorer Kizlin S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Plojovic-Berisha D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Bednja Beletinec Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuti L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Holi F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sava Strmec 10 / 100
Bednja Beletinec 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sava Strmec Bednja Beletinec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bednja Beletinec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 10.00 goals when they meet.

Bednja Beletinec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 13 matches.

Bednja Beletinec's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sava Strmec found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (4 games).

Scoring Trends

Sava Strmec VS Bednja Beletinec
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
4.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sava Strmec

(Home)
28 Aug
Sava Strmec
0 : 7
Pitomaca
31 Aug
Sava Strmec
4 : 6
Bednja Beletinec
29 Aug
Medjimurje
5 : 0
Sava Strmec
28 Feb
Kustosija
1 : 2
Sava Strmec

Bednja Beletinec

(Away)
27 Aug
Bednja Beletinec
1 : 4
Karlovac
22 Oct
Bednja Beletinec
0 : 3
Rijeka
11 Sept
Bednja Beletinec
3 : 0
Belisce
28 Aug
Bednja Beletinec
2 : 1
Orijent
19 Oct
Bednja Beletinec
0 : 3
Rudes
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Belisce 3
BSK Buk 0
Bijelo Brdo 5
Marsonia 1
Moslavina 3
Medjimurje 2
TBD -
Rijeka -
Vuteks Sloga 1
Jadran Porec 2
TBD -
Sibenik -
Radnik Krizevci 1
Dubrava Zagreb 3
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Bjelovar 1
Gaj Mace 0
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Bistra 2
Vodice 1
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
RNK Split -
TBD -
TBD -
Cibalia -
Slavonac Bukovlje 0
Borinci 2
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
NK Nedelisce 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 3
TBD -
Zapresic -
Solin 6
Funtana 1
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Sava Strmec 4
Bednja Beletinec 6
TBD -
Rudes -
Neretva 0
Grobnican 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Nehaj Senj 0
Primorac Biograd 4
TBD -
Varazdin -
Papuk Orahovica 1
Karlovac 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Virovitica 0
Mladost Zdralovi 6
TBD -
Oriolik -
Tehnicar Cvetkovec 4
Mladost Petrinja 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
1/16-finals
Belisce 1
Bijelo Brdo 5
Moslavina 1
Rijeka 2
Jadran Porec 1
Sibenik 2
Dubrava Zagreb 2
HNK Gorica 3
Bjelovar 4
Jaska Vinogradar 2
Bistra 1
Lok. Zagreb 6
RNK Split 2
Cibalia 0
Borinci 0
Din. Zagreb 4
NK Nedelisce 3
Zapresic 0
Solin 1
Slaven Belupo 2
Bednja Beletinec 0
Rudes 3
Grobnican 1
Istra 1961 2
Primorac Biograd 1
Varazdin 4
Papuk Orahovica 0
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 6
Oriolik 0
Tehnicar Cvetkovec 1
Hajduk Split 5
1/8-finals
Bijelo Brdo 2
Rijeka 1
Sibenik 2
HNK Gorica 0
Bjelovar 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
RNK Split 1
Din. Zagreb 3
NK Nedelisce 0
Slaven Belupo 6
Rudes 2
Istra 1961 1
Varazdin 1
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 0
Hajduk Split 2
Quarter-finals
Bijelo Brdo 0
Sibenik 2
Lok. Zagreb 1
Din. Zagreb 3
Slaven Belupo 2
Rudes 0
Osijek 1
Hajduk Split 2
Semi-finals
Sibenik 2
Din. Zagreb 1
Slaven Belupo 0
Hajduk Split 1
Final
Sibenik 0
Hajduk Split 2