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Savignanese vs Fanfulla

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Thu, Apr 9, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Savignanese host Fanfulla in the Serie D - Group D 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Fanfulla have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while Savignanese have conceded 1.38 and scored 0.9. Past meetings favor Savignanese slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 1.05, favoring Savignanese. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Savignanese
35%
Draws
19%
Fanfulla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Savignanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fanfulla lately — more wins on the board than Savignanese.
  • Savignanese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Savignanese Clean Sheet 20%
Fanfulla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Savignanese Fanfulla
Matches Played 21 34
Wins 4 6
Draws 7 12
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 0.9 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Savignanese vs Fanfulla
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Fanfulla vs Savignanese
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Savignanese 85 / 100
Fanfulla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Savignanese Fanfulla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Savignanese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Savignanese scored in 62% of their last 21 games.

Fanfulla has conceded goals in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Recent resilience: Savignanese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Fanfulla lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fanfulla
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Savignanese

(Home)
23 Feb
Savignanese
1 : 1
Sammaurese
16 Feb
Desenzano Calvina
3 : 0
Savignanese
09 Feb
Savignanese
1 : 0
Breno
02 Feb
Ciliverghe Mazzano
3 : 2
Savignanese
26 Jan
Savignanese
0 : 0
Franciacorta
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Fanfulla

(Away)
04 May
Club Milano
3 : 2
Fanfulla
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1
Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2
Fanfulla
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
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