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Savona vs Fossano Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2019/2020
Sun, Apr 26, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Savona host Fossano in the Serie D - Group A 2019/2020. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Savona at 1.33 goals for, 1.24 against; Fossano at 0.91 for, 1.76 against. Head-to-head, Savona have won 1 to Fossano's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 0.99) point toward Savona. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Savona
15%
Draws
0%
Fossano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Savona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Savona lately — more wins on the board than Fossano.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Savona taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Savona Clean Sheet 20%
Fossano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Savona Fossano
Matches Played 21 33
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 1.33 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Savona vs Fossano
0:0
Dec 15, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Savona
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Savona 85 / 100
Fossano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Savona Fossano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Savona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Savona scored in 81% of their last 21 outings.

Fossano let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.

Away concern: Fossano has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fossano
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Savona

(Home)
23 Feb
Bra
0 : 1
Savona
16 Feb
Savona
1 : 2
Lucchese
09 Feb
Lavagnese
0 : 0
Savona
02 Feb
Savona
2 : 1
Vado
26 Jan
Fezzanese
0 : 1
Savona
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Fossano

(Away)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
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