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Savona vs Vado Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Varela I.
59' Event
Siani G.
80' Event
Siani G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2019/2020 game between Savona and Vado finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Savona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Savona
20%
Draws
23%
Vado
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Savona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Savona haven't matched Vado's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Savona's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Savona Clean Sheet 13%
Vado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Savona Vado
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Savona vs Vado
2:1
Sep 29, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Savona
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Savona Compare

Top Goalscorer Siani G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer Varela I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Savona 39 / 100
Vado 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Savona Vado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Savona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Savona scored in 81% of their last 21 games.

Vado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Savona remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vado
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Savona

(Home)
23 Feb
Bra
0 : 1
Savona
16 Feb
Savona
1 : 2
Lucchese
09 Feb
Lavagnese
0 : 0
Savona
02 Feb
Savona
2 : 1
Vado
26 Jan
Fezzanese
0 : 1
Savona
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Vado

(Away)
03 Oct
Vado
1 : 0
Forli FC
26 Sept
Sassari Torres
0 : 0
Vado
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Pescara
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
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