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SB Castelo Branco vs Electrico FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Sacra
44' Event
Vagas
59' Event
Pascoal J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C game between SB Castelo Branco and Electrico FC finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SB Castelo Branco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
SB Castelo Branco
22%
Draws
18%
Electrico FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: SB Castelo Branco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SB Castelo Branco come out ahead of Electrico FC on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on SB Castelo Branco taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SB Castelo Branco have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 68%
Electrico FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SB Castelo Branco Electrico FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SB Castelo Branco vs Electrico FC
6:1
Sep 28, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Electrico FC vs SB Castelo Branco
1:3
Sep 8, 2019 Taça de Portugal
Electrico FC vs SB Castelo Branco
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SB Castelo Branco Compare

Top Goalscorer Sacra
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vagas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Electrico FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SB Castelo Branco 68 / 100
Electrico FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SB Castelo Branco Electrico FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SB Castelo Branco's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Electrico FC conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: SB Castelo Branco remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SB Castelo Branco VS Electrico FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

SB Castelo Branco

(Home)
18 Apr
Fatima
4 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
12 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 2
Samora Correia
04 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
25 Mar
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0
SB Castelo Branco
21 Mar
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
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Electrico FC

(Away)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Electrico FC
0 : 3
Fatima
04 Apr
Samora Correia
2 : 1
Electrico FC
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2
GD Peniche
15 Mar
Oliveira Hospital
5 : 0
Electrico FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Sernache26167333:1255
2Oliveira Hospital26148439:1350
3Naval 189326146636:2348
4SB Castelo Branco26144843:2646
5Uniao Da Serra26128638:2744
6Mortagua FC26116923:2639
7Os Marialvas261061033:2836
8Fatima26881027:2932
9Lajense26881037:3732
10GD Peniche26861234:4330
11Samora Correia26851327:3529
12Marinhense26591220:3824
13Electrico FC26541733:6219
14SC Lusitania26451724:4817
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)