Sport Picks

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SB Castelo Branco vs Oleiros

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oleiros in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oleiros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
SB Castelo Branco
15%
Draws
65%
Oleiros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oleiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • SB Castelo Branco have won more games recently than Oleiros.
  • Model gives Oleiros a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 25%
Oleiros Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SB Castelo Branco Oleiros
Matches Played 42 29
Wins 21 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.67 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.12 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Oleiros vs SB Castelo Branco
1:2
Mar 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SB Castelo Branco vs Oleiros
1:1
Jan 29, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SB Castelo Branco vs Oleiros
0:1
Nov 1, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oleiros vs SB Castelo Branco
1:0
Apr 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Oleiros vs SB Castelo Branco
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SB Castelo Branco 10 / 100
Oleiros 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SB Castelo Branco Oleiros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oleiros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SB Castelo Branco scored in 76% of their last 42 outings.

Oleiros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

SB Castelo Branco has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SB Castelo Branco VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SB Castelo Branco

(Home)
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4
Naval 1893
16 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 3
SB Castelo Branco
18 Apr
Fatima
4 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
12 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 2
Samora Correia
Page 1 of 9

Oleiros

(Away)
08 May
Oleiros
2 : 1
Condeixa
01 May
UC Idanhense
0 : 1
Oleiros
24 Apr
Oleiros
1 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
10 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
Oleiros
03 Apr
Oleiros
1 : 0
UC Idanhense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Fontinhas 18 14 2 2 32:15 44
2 Sertanense 18 12 3 3 30:12 39
3 Marinhense 18 7 6 5 19:18 27
4 SC Praiense 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
5 Vitoria Sernache 18 4 9 5 24:24 21
6 GD Peniche 18 5 6 7 20:22 21
7 Oleiros 18 5 5 8 11:17 20
8 SB Castelo Branco 18 4 7 7 13:19 19
9 Condeixa 18 6 1 11 21:23 19
10 UC Idanhense 18 1 9 8 18:35 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)