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SB Chiemgau Traunstein vs ASV Neumarkt

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SB Chiemgau Traunstein play ASV Neumarkt in the Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, SB Chiemgau Traunstein averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. ASV Neumarkt averaged 1.87 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, SB Chiemgau Traunstein won 1, ASV Neumarkt won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 2, 2018 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for SB Chiemgau Traunstein and 1.80 for ASV Neumarkt. This points to a ASV Neumarkt double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
15%
Draws
48%
ASV Neumarkt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASV Neumarkt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • SB Chiemgau Traunstein picked up more points recently compared to ASV Neumarkt.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
SB Chiemgau Traunstein Clean Sheet 11%
ASV Neumarkt Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SB Chiemgau Traunstein ASV Neumarkt
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SB Chiemgau Traunstein vs ASV Neumarkt
5:0
Aug 15, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Süd
ASV Neumarkt vs SB Chiemgau Traunstein
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SB Chiemgau Traunstein 36 / 100
ASV Neumarkt 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SB Chiemgau Traunstein ASV Neumarkt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: ASV Neumarkt or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SB Chiemgau Traunstein attacking → ← attacking ASV Neumarkt

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SB Chiemgau Traunstein scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

ASV Neumarkt let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

SB Chiemgau Traunstein went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

ASV Neumarkt lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 43
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Heimstetten36219693:5172
2Pullach361714575:4865
3Rain/Lech361711870:4462
4Kottern-St. Mang361861259:4860
5TSV Schwaben Augsburg3614121064:5054
6TSV Schwabmunchen361581352:5253
7Vilzing361571465:5452
8ASV Neumarkt3613111251:4850
9Sonthofen3612131159:5049
10Dachau3612131164:5249
11Ismaning3612111370:7047
12Holzkirchen3612111357:6947
13Hankofen-Hailing361371653:6646
14Munich 1860 II3610131347:4743
15SB Chiemgau Traunstein361322149:6341
16Kirchanschoring369131444:5140
17Wolfratshausen361161957:8539
18Landsberg361161952:7239
19TSV Kornburg36772236:9728