Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SB Chiemgau Traunstein vs Holzkirchen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SB Chiemgau Traunstein in this Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SB Chiemgau Traunstein.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
15%
Draws
64%
Holzkirchen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holzkirchen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • SB Chiemgau Traunstein have won more games recently than Holzkirchen.
  • SB Chiemgau Traunstein are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
SB Chiemgau Traunstein Clean Sheet 10%
Holzkirchen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SB Chiemgau Traunstein Holzkirchen
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 4
Draws 2 2
Losses 18 26
Goals Scored 1.37 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.1 3.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SB Chiemgau Traunstein vs Holzkirchen
5:0
Oct 21, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Holzkirchen vs SB Chiemgau Traunstein
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SB Chiemgau Traunstein 47 / 100
Holzkirchen 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SB Chiemgau Traunstein Holzkirchen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SB Chiemgau Traunstein Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holzkirchen let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

SB Chiemgau Traunstein's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Holzkirchen's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SB Chiemgau Traunstein VS Holzkirchen
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
3.17 Goals Conceded 2.13
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SB Chiemgau Traunstein

(Home)
24 Jun
FC Botosani
5 : 0
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
24 Jun
Buchbach
5 : 1
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
03 Jun
Turkspor Augsburg
0 : 0
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
0 : 2
Turkspor Augsburg
01 Jul
Garching
4 : 2
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
Page 1 of 6

Holzkirchen

(Away)
12 Jul
Unterhaching
9 : 2
Holzkirchen
02 Feb
Heimstetten
9 : 1
Holzkirchen
22 Jan
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
3 : 1
Holzkirchen
06 Jul
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
0 : 1
Holzkirchen
11 May
Holzkirchen
0 : 2
Nordlingen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heimstetten 36 21 9 6 93:51 72
2 Pullach 36 17 14 5 75:48 65
3 Rain/Lech 36 17 11 8 70:44 62
4 Kottern-St. Mang 36 18 6 12 59:48 60
5 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 36 14 12 10 64:50 54
6 TSV Schwabmunchen 36 15 8 13 52:52 53
7 Vilzing 36 15 7 14 65:54 52
8 ASV Neumarkt 36 13 11 12 51:48 50
9 Sonthofen 36 12 13 11 59:50 49
10 Dachau 36 12 13 11 64:52 49
11 Ismaning 36 12 11 13 70:70 47
12 Holzkirchen 36 12 11 13 57:69 47
13 Hankofen-Hailing 36 13 7 16 53:66 46
14 Munich 1860 II 36 10 13 13 47:47 43
15 SB Chiemgau Traunstein 36 13 2 21 49:63 41
16 Kirchanschoring 36 9 13 14 44:51 40
17 Wolfratshausen 36 11 6 19 57:85 39
18 Landsberg 36 11 6 19 52:72 39
19 TSV Kornburg 36 7 7 22 36:97 28
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Play Offs)