Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Ashdod vs Hapoel Jerusalem

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Yud-Alef Stadium, Ashdod
SC Ashdod Logo

SC Ashdod

0 - 1
FT
Hapoel Jerusalem Logo

Hapoel Jerusalem

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Diakite I.
13'
Azo O. N.
33'
Warsana N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 game between SC Ashdod and Hapoel Jerusalem finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Jerusalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
SC Ashdod
15%
Draws
27%
Hapoel Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Ashdod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Jerusalem carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SC Ashdod a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
SC Ashdod Clean Sheet 68%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Ashdod Hapoel Jerusalem
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
SC Ashdod vs Hapoel Jerusalem
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
SC Ashdod vs Hapoel Jerusalem
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs SC Ashdod
1:2
Jul 22, 2025 Toto Cup
SC Ashdod vs Hapoel Jerusalem
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
SC Ashdod vs Hapoel Jerusalem
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Ashdod Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hapoel Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Hozez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Ashdod 95 / 100
Hapoel Jerusalem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Ashdod Hapoel Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Ashdod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Ashdod went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Hapoel Jerusalem conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: SC Ashdod scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Ashdod VS Hapoel Jerusalem
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.71 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Ashdod

(Home)
17 Sept
SC Ashdod
3 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
14 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 4
SC Ashdod
06 Sept
SC Ashdod
4 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
31 Aug
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 2
SC Ashdod
24 Aug
SC Ashdod
1 : 0
Maccabi Jaffa
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Jerusalem

(Away)
19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4
Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0
Hapoel Jerusalem
23 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
2 : 5
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Netanya 33 14 6 13 59:63 48
8 Shmona 33 11 7 15 50:53 40
9 Ironi Tiberias 33 12 8 13 45:56 36
10 Hapoel Haifa 33 8 10 15 39:51 34
11 Sakhnin 33 8 10 15 28:49 34
12 Hapoel Jerusalem 33 7 10 16 26:43 31
13 SC Ashdod 33 6 10 17 38:62 28
14 Maccabi Bnei Raina 33 6 4 23 26:69 22
Relegation - Leumit League (Main)