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SC do Porto Novo vs Academica Boavista

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2009
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

SC do Porto Novo host Academica Boavista in the Campeonato Nacional 2009. This has SC do Porto Novo written all over it on paper. Academica Boavista have shipped 2.88 goals a game lately, while SC do Porto Novo have conceded 0 and scored 0. Head-to-head, SC do Porto Novo have won 1 to Academica Boavista's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 16, 2009, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.04 xG vs 1.11) point toward SC do Porto Novo. SC do Porto Novo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
SC do Porto Novo
39%
Draws
31%
Academica Boavista
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Academica Boavista has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SC do Porto Novo.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato Nacional 2009 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
SC do Porto Novo Clean Sheet 20%
Academica Boavista Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC do Porto Novo Academica Boavista
Matches Played 7 26
Wins 3 4
Draws 1 7
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2009 Campeonato Nacional
SC do Porto Novo vs Academica Boavista
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC do Porto Novo 31 / 100
Academica Boavista 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC do Porto Novo Academica Boavista

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC do Porto Novo scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

Academica Boavista let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

SC do Porto Novo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Academica Boavista lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Academica Boavista
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica Praia541010:513
2Mindelense540113:412
3Ultramarina521211:67
4Onze Unidos52125:57
5Santa Maria50236:132
6Foguetoes50143:151
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Praia541011:113
2SC do Porto Novo53029:69
3Vulcanico52123:47
4Morabeza52124:87
5Estrela dos Amadores52037:86
6Academica Boavista50142:91