Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Espinho vs Alianca de Gandra

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2017/2018
Sun, Sep 3, 2017
1 - 0
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Espinho in this Taça de Portugal 2017/2018 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
SC Espinho
15%
Draws
21%
Alianca de Gandra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Espinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • SC Espinho have won more games recently than Alianca de Gandra.
  • Win probability leans SC Espinho's way, sitting at 90%.
  • SC Espinho have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor SC Espinho, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
SC Espinho Clean Sheet 68%
Alianca de Gandra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Espinho Alianca de Gandra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.19 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Alianca de Gandra vs SC Espinho
2:0
Sep 3, 2017 Taça de Portugal
SC Espinho vs Alianca de Gandra
1:0
Aug 27, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Espinho vs Alianca de Gandra
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Espinho 95 / 100
Alianca de Gandra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Espinho Alianca de Gandra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Espinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alianca de Gandra conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: SC Espinho stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Alianca de Gandra's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Espinho VS Alianca de Gandra
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Espinho

(Home)
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
18 Oct
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Santa Clara
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
31 Aug
Florgrade
0 : 1
SC Espinho
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
Page 1 of 7

Alianca de Gandra

(Away)
22 Sept
Gondomar
1 : 0
Alianca de Gandra
08 Sept
Alianca de Gandra
2 : 1
SC Salgueiros
15 Aug
Leca
4 : 0
Alianca de Gandra
22 Apr
Alianca de Gandra
0 : 1
Canelas 2010
15 Apr
Gondomar
2 : 0
Alianca de Gandra
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Moreirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Resende 1
Lamego 0
Uniao Lamas 2
Canelas 2010 3
Operario 2
Charneca Caparica 0
Recreativo Canaviais 1
Guadalupe 4
Pedras Salgadas 2
CDC Montalegre 0
Machico 0
FC Felgueiras 4
Chaves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Electrico FC 3
Mosteirense 0
Macao 0
Fatima 4
BSAD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gondomar 3
Regua 1
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aguia Vimioso 1
Desportivo Moncao 0
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -
Academico Viseu -
TBD -
Fornos de Algodres 1
Lusitano FCV 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Feirense -
Portimonense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
Ferreiras 2
Moura AC 5
Lusitano GC 3
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
GD Coruchense 2
Pero Pinheiro 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
Cova De Piedade -
TBD -
Atletico Arcos 3
Minas de Argozelo 5
Pedras Rubras 3
Camacha 1
Agueda 0
Anadia 1
Amarante FC 1
AD Fafe 0
TBD -
Varzim -
Almodovar 5
CDR Quarteirense 2
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Sporting Ideal 3
AD Oliveirense 5
Sendim 0
Vilafranquense 1
Mafra 2
Mortagua FC 5
Figueirense 1
GS Loures 1
Torreense 2
GD Uniao Torcatense 2
Esposende 1
Oriental 1
Lusitano VRSA 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Vilaverdense FC 2
GD Braganca 0
Tocha 1
Esmoriz 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
Sintrense 2
FC Crato 1
Aroes 0
Trofense 1
Covilha -
TBD -
Mondinense 0
Vizela 3
Famalicao -
TBD -
Rio Tinto 0
Coimbroes 1
SC Salgueiros 3
Cinfaes 2
FC Flamengos 0
Alta Lisboa 4
Oleiros 1
Alcanenense 0
Paredes 0
Sousense 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Crato -
TBD -
SC Sabugal 2
Sanjoanense 3
Sao Martinho 2
SC Vila Real 1
Riachense 0
UC Idanhense 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiria e Marrazes -
TBD -
TBD -
Pinhalnovense -
Olhanense 3
Almancilense 1
TBD -
Lamego -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
U. Madeira -
TBD -
TBD -
Sertanense -
Marinhense 2
Sertanense 0
TBD -
Oriental -
Gafanha 1
Nogueirense 0
TBD -
SC Lourinhanense -
Maria de Fonte 2
SC Mirandela 1
Camara de Lobos 0
Freamunde 2
Leiria 3
GD Sourense 0
Leiria e Marrazes 1
SB Castelo Branco 5
Moncarapachense 1
Armacenenses 0
Alianca de Gandra 0
SC Espinho 1
SC Vila Real -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aves -
Caldas SC 2
SC Lourinhanense 0
SC Lusitania 0
Montijo 3
Aguias do Moradal 2
Alcains 1
Ferreira de Aves 0
FC Cesarense 1
GD Coruchense -
TBD -
TBD -
Mondinense -
Sacavenense 2
1º Dezembro 0
TBD -
Arouca -
Nacional -
TBD -
SC Pombal 0
Condeixa 3
Real SC -
TBD -
Cerveira 1
Merelinense 3
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Mirandela -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
SC Praiense 4
Vale Formoso 1
Castrense 1
Louletano 2
GD Braganca -
TBD -
TBD -
Alcains -
Casa Pia 2
Pinhalnovense 0
TBD -
Recreativo Canaviais -
Penafiel -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Leixoes -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Sourense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Estoril -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amora 3
Vitoria FC Pico 0
Estrela Vendas Novas 1
SC Farense 7
1/64-finals
Moreirense -
TBD -
GD Resende 0
Canelas 2010 3
Operario 3
Guadalupe 2
Pedras Salgadas 1
FC Felgueiras 2
Chaves -
TBD -
Electrico FC 2
Fatima 4
BSAD -
TBD -
Gondomar 0
Santa Clara 1
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
Aguia Vimioso 2
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 3
Academico Viseu 1
Lusitano FCV 0
TBD -
Feirense -
Portimonense -
TBD -
Gil Vicente 0
Moura AC 1
Lusitano GC 4
Pero Pinheiro 1
TBD -
FC Porto -
Cova De Piedade 4
Minas de Argozelo 0
Pedras Rubras 0
Anadia 4
Amarante FC 1
Varzim 0
Almodovar 0
Sporting Ideal 1
AD Oliveirense 2
Mafra 1
Mortagua FC 0
Torreense 2
GD Uniao Torcatense 2
Lusitano VRSA 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
Vilaverdense FC 1
Esmoriz 0
TBD -
Boavista -
Sintrense 1
Trofense 0
Covilha 1
Vizela 2
Famalicao 3
Coimbroes 1
SC Salgueiros 2
Alta Lisboa 3
Oleiros 3
Sousense 0
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
FC Crato 0
Sanjoanense 3
Sao Martinho 4
UC Idanhense 0
TBD -
Braga -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
Leiria e Marrazes 0
Pinhalnovense 4
Olhanense 4
Lamego 1
TBD -
Benfica -
U. Madeira 2
Sertanense 0
Marinhense 0
Oriental 1
Gafanha 3
SC Lourinhanense 2
Maria de Fonte 2
Freamunde 4
Leiria 2
SB Castelo Branco 0
Moncarapachense 0
SC Espinho 1
SC Vila Real 1
Oliveirense 0
TBD -
Aves -
Caldas SC 1
Montijo 0
Aguias do Moradal 2
FC Cesarense 3
GD Coruchense 5
Mondinense 2
Sacavenense 0
Arouca 1
Nacional 3
Condeixa 1
Real SC 1
Merelinense 3
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
SC Mirandela 1
Academica 2
SC Praiense 2
Louletano 0
GD Braganca 1
Alcains 2
Casa Pia 5
Recreativo Canaviais 0
Penafiel 0
Vilafranquense 1
Leixoes 2
GD Sourense 0
TBD -
Tondela -
Estoril -
TBD -
Amora 2
SC Farense 3
1/32-finals
Moreirense 3
Canelas 2010 1
Operario 2
FC Felgueiras 4
Chaves 3
Fatima 0
BSAD 1
Santa Clara 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 6
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
Academico Viseu 0
Feirense 1
Portimonense 1
Moura AC 0
Lusitano GC 0
FC Porto 6
Cova De Piedade 2
Anadia 1
Amarante FC 1
Sporting Ideal 2
AD Oliveirense 1
Torreense 0
GD Uniao Torcatense 0
Maritimo 1
Vilaverdense FC 1
Boavista 0
Sintrense 1
Vizela 3
Famalicao 2
Alta Lisboa 0
Oleiros 2
Sporting CP 4
Rio Ave 4
Sanjoanense 0
Sao Martinho 2
Braga 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Olhanense 0
Benfica 1
U. Madeira 3
Oriental 2
Gafanha 0
Freamunde 1
Leiria 2
SC Espinho 0
SC Vila Real 0
Aves 1
Caldas SC 2
FC Cesarense 1
GD Coruchense 0
Arouca 3
Nacional 4
Merelinense 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Academica 2
SC Praiense 4
Alcains 1
Casa Pia 1
Vilafranquense 2
Leixoes 3
Tondela 2
Estoril 0
SC Farense 1
1/16-finals
Moreirense 5
FC Felgueiras 2
Chaves 0
Santa Clara 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Feirense 1
Portimonense 2
FC Porto 3
Cova De Piedade 4
Sporting Ideal 1
AD Oliveirense 2
Maritimo 3
Vilaverdense FC 3
Vizela 2
Famalicao 0
Sporting CP 2
Rio Ave 1
Braga 0
Vitoria Setubal 0
Benfica 2
U. Madeira 4
Freamunde 2
Leiria 0
Aves 3
Caldas SC 2
Arouca 1
Nacional 0
Academica 1
SC Praiense 3
Vilafranquense 2
Leixoes 1
SC Farense 2
1/8-finals
Moreirense 3
Santa Clara 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
FC Porto 4
Cova De Piedade 1
Maritimo 0
Vilaverdense FC 0
Sporting CP 4
Rio Ave 3
Benfica 2
U. Madeira 1
Aves 5
Caldas SC 2
Academica 1
SC Praiense 0
SC Farense 1
Quarter-finals
Moreirense 1
FC Porto 2
Cova De Piedade 1
Sporting CP 2
Rio Ave 4
Aves 5
Caldas SC 3
SC Farense 2
Semi-finals
FC Porto 1
Sporting CP 2
Aves 3
Caldas SC 1
Final
Sporting CP 1
Aves 2