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SC Espinho vs Gondomar

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 game between SC Espinho and Gondomar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gondomar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
SC Espinho
20%
Draws
29%
Gondomar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Espinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Espinho carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SC Espinho a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
SC Espinho Clean Sheet 68%
Gondomar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Espinho Gondomar
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.23 0.68
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Espinho vs Gondomar
0:1
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Gondomar vs SC Espinho
1:1
Jan 16, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Gondomar vs SC Espinho
1:6
Oct 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Espinho vs Gondomar
1:0
Nov 22, 2020 Taça de Portugal
SC Espinho vs Gondomar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Espinho 68 / 100
Gondomar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Espinho Gondomar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Espinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Espinho scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

SC Espinho has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gondomar has conceded goals in 53% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Espinho VS Gondomar
1.5 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Espinho

(Home)
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
18 Oct
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Santa Clara
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
31 Aug
Florgrade
0 : 1
SC Espinho
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
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Gondomar

(Away)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Gondomar
29 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 0
Camacha
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
09 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 2
Leca
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