Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Faetano vs Cailungo

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Michelucci R.
20' Event
Michelucci R.
Assist: De Luca K.
71' Event
Zonzini K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

SC Faetano in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Faetano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
SC Faetano
30%
Draws
23%
Cailungo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Faetano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • SC Faetano have won more games recently than Cailungo.
  • Win probability leans Cailungo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • SC Faetano have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
SC Faetano Clean Sheet 16%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Faetano Cailungo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 1
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 24
Goals Scored 0.67 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Cailungo
3:2
Oct 3, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SC Faetano
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Cailungo
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SC Faetano
0:1
Feb 21, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Cailungo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Faetano Compare

Top Goalscorer Golinucci E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pallante G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cailungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Michelucci R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Faetano 28 / 100
Cailungo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Faetano Cailungo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cailungo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cailungo conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Cailungo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

SC Faetano's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

SC Faetano VS Cailungo
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Faetano

(Home)
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1
SC Faetano
13 Sept
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 0
SC Faetano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
Page 1 of 6

Cailungo

(Away)
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
25 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
1 : 1
Cailungo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)