Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Faetano vs Folgore

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Malaponti F.
Assist: Garcia Rufer A.
71' Event
Adam
Assist: Cateni F.

AI Match Summary

Folgore in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Folgore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
SC Faetano
20%
Draws
71%
Folgore
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Folgore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Folgore lately — more wins on the board than SC Faetano.
  • Folgore are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Folgore have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
SC Faetano Clean Sheet 10%
Folgore Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Faetano Folgore
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 18
Draws 6 9
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 0.67 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Folgore
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SC Faetano
2:0
Apr 5, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SC Faetano
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Folgore
0:2
Feb 24, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SC Faetano
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Faetano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Folgore Compare

Top Goalscorer Malaponti F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adam
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Faetano 10 / 100
Folgore 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Faetano Folgore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Folgore conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

SC Faetano scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

SC Faetano has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Faetano VS Folgore
0.38 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Faetano

(Home)
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1
SC Faetano
13 Sept
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 0
SC Faetano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
Page 1 of 6

Folgore

(Away)
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)