Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Faetano vs Juvenes/Dogana

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Aprea M.
Assist: Merli D.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between SC Faetano and Juvenes/Dogana finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juvenes/Dogana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
SC Faetano
20%
Draws
48%
Juvenes/Dogana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juvenes/Dogana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Juvenes/Dogana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Juvenes/Dogana are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Juvenes/Dogana here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
SC Faetano Clean Sheet 12%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Faetano Juvenes/Dogana
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.67 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs SC Faetano
4:0
Mar 14, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Juvenes/Dogana
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs SC Faetano
3:1
Mar 15, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs SC Faetano
2:1
Nov 23, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Faetano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Juvenes/Dogana Compare

Top Goalscorer Aprea M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Faetano 11 / 100
Juvenes/Dogana 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Faetano Juvenes/Dogana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juvenes/Dogana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juvenes/Dogana has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Juvenes/Dogana lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SC Faetano scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Faetano VS Juvenes/Dogana
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Faetano

(Home)
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1
SC Faetano
13 Sept
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 0
SC Faetano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
Page 1 of 6

Juvenes/Dogana

(Away)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)