Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Faetano vs SS Murata

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Elia G.
90' Event
Lenzu A. A.

AI Match Summary

SC Faetano in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Faetano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
SC Faetano
20%
Draws
48%
SS Murata
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SS Murata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC Faetano lately — more wins on the board than SS Murata.
  • Win probability leans SC Faetano's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
SC Faetano Clean Sheet 14%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Faetano SS Murata
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 20 26
Goals Scored 0.67 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs SS Murata
2:0
Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Titano
SC Faetano vs SS Murata
1:1
Sep 24, 2025 Coppa Titano
SS Murata vs SC Faetano
2:0
Aug 29, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs SC Faetano
0:2
Apr 30, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs SC Faetano
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Faetano Compare

Top Goalscorer Elia G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lenzu A. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

SS Murata Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Faetano 41 / 100
SS Murata 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Faetano SS Murata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SS Murata let in goals in 97% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Away concern: SS Murata has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

SC Faetano scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Faetano VS SS Murata
0.38 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Faetano

(Home)
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1
SC Faetano
13 Sept
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 0
SC Faetano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
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SS Murata

(Away)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)