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SC Farense U23 vs Famalicao U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Furtado D.
24' Event
Castro J.
31'
Kaua P.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Next Gen U23 game between SC Farense U23 and Famalicao U23 finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Farense U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
SC Farense U23
15%
Draws
39%
Famalicao U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Farense U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Farense U23 come out ahead of Famalicao U23 on wins alone.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Next Gen U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
SC Farense U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Famalicao U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Farense U23 Famalicao U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.45 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
SC Farense U23 vs Famalicao U23
4:3
Feb 28, 2022 Liga Next Gen U23
SC Farense U23 vs Famalicao U23
0:5
Jan 15, 2022 Liga Next Gen U23
Famalicao U23 vs SC Farense U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Farense U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Furtado D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beijoca M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Famalicao U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beye L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Farense U23 30 / 100
Famalicao U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Farense U23 Famalicao U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Farense U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Famalicao U23 conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

SC Farense U23 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: SC Farense U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Farense U23 VS Famalicao U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Farense U23

(Home)
21 Sept
Vizela U23
2 : 0
SC Farense U23
15 Sept
SC Farense U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
09 Sept
Santa Clara U23
1 : 0
SC Farense U23
01 Sept
SC Farense U23
4 : 3
Famalicao U23
25 Aug
Portimonense U23
1 : 2
SC Farense U23
Page 1 of 6

Famalicao U23

(Away)
19 Sept
Leixoes U23
1 : 2
Famalicao U23
15 Sept
Famalicao U23
0 : 1
Rio Ave U23
08 Sept
Estoril U23
4 : 2
Famalicao U23
01 Sept
SC Farense U23
4 : 3
Famalicao U23
25 Aug
Famalicao U23
2 : 1
FC Felgueiras U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estoril U23 8 4 4 0 17:12 16
2 Sporting CP U23 8 4 3 1 15:10 15
3 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)