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SC Farense U23 vs Leixoes U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Leandro Kaua
61' Event
Almeida G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Next Gen U23 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
SC Farense U23
35%
Draws
19%
Leixoes U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SC Farense U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Farense U23 have won more games recently than Leixoes U23.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Next Gen U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and SC Farense U23 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
SC Farense U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Leixoes U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Farense U23 Leixoes U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
SC Farense U23 vs Leixoes U23
1:1
Apr 30, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Leixoes U23 vs SC Farense U23
1:2
Feb 25, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
SC Farense U23 vs Leixoes U23
2:0
Apr 16, 2024 Liga Next Gen U23
SC Farense U23 vs Leixoes U23
2:1
Feb 13, 2024 Liga Next Gen U23
Leixoes U23 vs SC Farense U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Farense U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Leixoes U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Leandro Kaua
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Farense U23 30 / 100
Leixoes U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Farense U23 Leixoes U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Farense U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Farense U23 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Leixoes U23 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: SC Farense U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Farense U23 VS Leixoes U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Farense U23

(Home)
21 Sept
Vizela U23
2 : 0
SC Farense U23
15 Sept
SC Farense U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
09 Sept
Santa Clara U23
1 : 0
SC Farense U23
01 Sept
SC Farense U23
4 : 3
Famalicao U23
25 Aug
Portimonense U23
1 : 2
SC Farense U23
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Leixoes U23

(Away)
28 Sept
Leixoes U23
2 : 2
Vizela U23
19 Sept
Leixoes U23
1 : 2
Famalicao U23
15 Sept
SC Farense U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
05 Sept
Leixoes U23
3 : 4
Sporting CP U23
01 Sept
Penafiel U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estoril U23 8 4 4 0 17:12 16
2 Sporting CP U23 8 4 3 1 15:10 15
3 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)