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SC Farense vs BSAD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Estádio de São Luís, Faro
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Ponde C.
18'
Matias M.
20' Event
Goncalves V.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 game between SC Farense and BSAD finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Farense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
SC Farense
35%
Draws
28%
BSAD
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SC Farense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Farense come out ahead of BSAD on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans SC Farense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
SC Farense Clean Sheet 68%
BSAD Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Farense BSAD
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
SC Farense vs BSAD
4:0
Oct 7, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
BSAD vs SC Farense
2:3
Mar 13, 2021 Liga Portugal
SC Farense vs BSAD
0:1
Oct 31, 2020 Liga Portugal
BSAD vs SC Farense
1:1
Jul 21, 2019 Club Friendly
SC Farense vs BSAD
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Farense Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fabricio Isidoro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

BSAD Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Farense 50 / 100
BSAD 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Farense BSAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Farense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Farense's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

BSAD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: SC Farense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Farense VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Farense

(Home)
04 Oct
SC Farense
4 : 0
Chaves
20 Sept
Sacavenense
0 : 1
SC Farense
13 Sept
AFS
0 : 0
SC Farense
30 Aug
Sporting CP B
2 : 1
SC Farense
24 Aug
SC Farense
1 : 1
FC Felgueiras
Page 1 of 6

BSAD

(Away)
11 Jun
BSAD
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Jun
Vilaverdense FC
1 : 1
BSAD
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
20 May
BSAD
2 : 1
Oliveirense
13 May
BSAD
2 : 2
Mafra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moreirense 34 24 7 3 77:38 79
2 SC Farense 34 21 6 7 57:34 69
3 Estrela da Amadora 34 16 15 3 55:35 63
4 Academico Viseu 34 14 11 9 51:45 53
5 FC Porto B 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
6 Mafra 34 12 11 11 46:49 47
7 Vilafranquense 34 12 10 12 42:36 46
8 Feirense 34 11 13 10 43:37 46
9 Torreense 34 13 5 16 38:41 44
10 Oliveirense 34 11 10 13 51:50 43
11 Tondela 34 8 16 10 35:35 40
12 Penafiel 34 9 12 13 36:47 39
13 Nacional 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
14 Benfica B 34 10 8 16 52:58 38
15 Leixoes 34 10 9 15 38:49 38
16 BSAD 34 9 8 17 41:59 35
17 Trofense 34 8 8 18 31:51 32
18 Covilha 34 7 7 20 31:57 28
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Main)