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SC Farense vs FC Felgueiras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estádio de São Luís, Faro
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Match Events

19' Event
Rivas M.
Assist: Franca F.
35'
Sub
Menino M. In: Nduquidi J.
Out: Menino M.
41'
Ventura

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Portugal 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
SC Farense
30%
Draws
33%
FC Felgueiras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Farense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • FC Felgueiras haven't matched SC Farense's recent run of results.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on SC Farense taking it.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
SC Farense Clean Sheet 68%
FC Felgueiras Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Farense FC Felgueiras
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.11 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.04 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
SC Farense vs FC Felgueiras
1:1
Mar 13, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
SC Farense vs FC Felgueiras
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Felgueiras vs SC Farense
1:1
May 13, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Farense vs FC Felgueiras
0:1
May 6, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
FC Felgueiras vs SC Farense
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Farense Compare

Top Goalscorer Mattheus
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

FC Felgueiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Farense 59 / 100
FC Felgueiras 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Farense FC Felgueiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Farense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Farense scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

FC Felgueiras let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

SC Farense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Farense VS FC Felgueiras
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Farense

(Home)
04 Oct
SC Farense
4 : 0
Chaves
20 Sept
Sacavenense
0 : 1
SC Farense
13 Sept
AFS
0 : 0
SC Farense
30 Aug
Sporting CP B
2 : 1
SC Farense
24 Aug
SC Farense
1 : 1
FC Felgueiras
Page 1 of 6

FC Felgueiras

(Away)
19 Sept
Naval 1893
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras
12 Sept
FC Felgueiras
1 : 2
Penafiel
06 Sept
Vizela
1 : 0
FC Felgueiras
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
24 Aug
SC Farense
1 : 1
FC Felgueiras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Sporting CP B 7 5 0 2 10:6 15
3 Penafiel 7 4 1 2 14:7 13
4 Tondela 7 4 0 3 8:6 12
5 SC Farense 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
6 Vizela 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
7 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
8 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
9 Leixoes 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
10 Portimonense 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 AFS 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
12 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
13 FC Porto B 7 2 1 4 6:14 7
14 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
15 Torreense 7 1 3 3 7:10 6
16 Amarante FC 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
17 Chaves 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)