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SC Farense vs FC Porto B

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio de São Luís, Faro
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Sousa G.
Assist: Rodrigues D.
34'
Jaiminho
36' Event
Vonic L.
Assist: Sousa G.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between SC Farense and FC Porto B finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Porto B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
SC Farense
39%
Draws
31%
FC Porto B
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Porto B come out ahead of SC Farense on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
SC Farense Clean Sheet 68%
FC Porto B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Farense FC Porto B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
SC Farense vs FC Porto B
2:3
Aug 24, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Porto B vs SC Farense
0:2
May 7, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
SC Farense vs FC Porto B
2:0
Dec 28, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
FC Porto B vs SC Farense
4:0
Mar 13, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
SC Farense vs FC Porto B
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Farense Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Herrero T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Porto B Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vonic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Farense 41 / 100
FC Porto B 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Farense FC Porto B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Porto B has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

SC Farense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

SC Farense scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Farense VS FC Porto B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Farense

(Home)
18 Jul
SC Farense
1 : 1
Sporting CP B
30 May
CF Os Belenenses
0 : 0
SC Farense
23 May
SC Farense
1 : 0
CF Os Belenenses
17 May
Portimonense
1 : 0
SC Farense
09 May
SC Farense
1 : 1
Pacos Ferreira
Page 1 of 6

FC Porto B

(Away)
29 Jul
Lusitania FC
3 : 3
FC Porto B
25 Jul
FC Porto B
1 : 3
Academica
15 May
FC Porto B
2 : 0
Benfica B
09 May
Sporting CP B
0 : 1
FC Porto B
04 May
FC Porto B
1 : 0
FC Felgueiras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)