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SC Gaucho vs Pelotas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Lucas Fogaca
46' Event
Anderson

AI Match Summary

SC Gaucho in this Gaucho 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Gaucho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
SC Gaucho
30%
Draws
47%
Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • SC Gaucho haven't matched Pelotas's recent run of results.
  • 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
SC Gaucho Clean Sheet 20%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Gaucho Pelotas
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Gaucho 2
SC Gaucho vs Pelotas
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Copa FGF
SC Gaucho vs Pelotas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Gaucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Fogaca
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anderson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Pelotas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Gaucho 31 / 100
Pelotas 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Gaucho Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Gaucho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelotas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Pelotas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

SC Gaucho found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

SC Gaucho VS Pelotas
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Gaucho

(Home)
27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
23 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Sept
SC Gaucho
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
16 Sept
Lajeadense
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
13 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 0
Veranopolis
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Pelotas

(Away)
27 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
23 Sept
Gramadense
1 : 1
Pelotas
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Pelotas
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)