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SC Humaita vs Santa Cruz AC

Brazil Brazil

Acreano Estádio Tonicão, Assis
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Pedro Liko
90'
Cordeiro L.

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz AC in this Acreano tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SC Humaita
6%
Draws
90%
Santa Cruz AC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santa Cruz AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Cruz AC lately — more wins on the board than SC Humaita.
  • Model gives Santa Cruz AC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Santa Cruz AC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Santa Cruz AC, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
SC Humaita Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Cruz AC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Humaita Santa Cruz AC
Matches Played 40 19
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 22 2
Goals Scored 1.38 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Acreano
SC Humaita vs Santa Cruz AC
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Acreano
Santa Cruz AC vs SC Humaita
0:0
Jan 22, 2026 Acreano
SC Humaita vs Santa Cruz AC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Humaita Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Santa Cruz AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Liko
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Humaita 10 / 100
Santa Cruz AC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Humaita Santa Cruz AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Humaita scored in 68% of their last 40 games.

Defensive concern: Santa Cruz AC conceded in 42% of 19 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

SC Humaita VS Santa Cruz AC
1.38 Goals Scored 2.17
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.33
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Humaita

(Home)
14 Jun
Porto Velho
13 : 0
SC Humaita
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4
Independencia Futebol Clube
23 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4
Guapore
16 May
Galvez
4 : 2
SC Humaita
10 May
SC Humaita
0 : 7
Araguaina
Page 1 of 8

Santa Cruz AC

(Away)
22 Mar
Rio Branco AC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz AC
19 Mar
SC Humaita
0 : 1
Santa Cruz AC
14 Mar
Santa Cruz AC
0 : 0
SC Humaita
07 Mar
Santa Cruz AC
3 : 2
Senador Guiomard
23 Feb
Rio Branco AC
0 : 3
Santa Cruz AC
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Galvez2
Rio Branco AC3
SC Humaita0
Santa Cruz AC1
Final
Rio Branco AC0
Santa Cruz AC1
Galvez3
SC Humaita1