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SC Humaita vs Santa Cruz AC

Brazil Brazil

Acreano Estádio Tonicão
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Pedro Liko
90'
Cordeiro L.

AI Match Summary

SC Humaita host Santa Cruz AC in the Acreano. This one's hard to separate. SC Humaita have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Santa Cruz AC's 2.17 scored and 0.33 conceded. Head-to-head, SC Humaita have won 1 to Santa Cruz AC's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.85 vs 1.90, favoring Santa Cruz AC. Santa Cruz AC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SC Humaita
6%
Draws
90%
Santa Cruz AC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santa Cruz AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Humaita has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Santa Cruz AC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Santa Cruz AC.
  • Cup tournament structure in Acreano increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
SC Humaita Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Cruz AC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Humaita Santa Cruz AC
Matches Played 43 19
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 21 2
Goals Scored 1.38 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Acreano
SC Humaita vs Santa Cruz AC
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Acreano
Santa Cruz AC vs SC Humaita
0:0
Jan 22, 2026 Acreano
SC Humaita vs Santa Cruz AC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Humaita Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Santa Cruz AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Liko
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Humaita 10 / 100
Santa Cruz AC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Humaita Santa Cruz AC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Humaita scored in 70% of their last 43 games.

Santa Cruz AC let in goals in 42% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

SC Humaita went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Santa Cruz AC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Humaita VS Santa Cruz AC
1.38 Goals Scored 2.17
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.33
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Galvez2
Rio Branco AC3
SC Humaita0
Santa Cruz AC1
Final
Rio Branco AC0
Santa Cruz AC1
Galvez3
SC Humaita1