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SC Lourinhanense vs AD Portomosense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group F 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

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AI Match Summary

SC Lourinhanense host AD Portomosense in the Campeonato Nacional - Group F 2013/2014. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: SC Lourinhanense at 1.25 goals for, 1.88 against; AD Portomosense at 0.5 for, 5.5 against. Past meetings favor SC Lourinhanense slightly — 2-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2014, ending 1:1. The numbers (3.38 xG vs 1.19) point toward SC Lourinhanense. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
SC Lourinhanense
6%
Draws
4%
AD Portomosense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SC Lourinhanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Lourinhanense has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to AD Portomosense.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for SC Lourinhanense.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato Nacional - Group F 2013/2014 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
SC Lourinhanense Clean Sheet 20%
AD Portomosense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Lourinhanense AD Portomosense
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 5.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 5.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
SC Lourinhanense vs AD Portomosense
1:1
Feb 16, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
AD Portomosense vs SC Lourinhanense
0:1
Dec 22, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
AD Portomosense vs SC Lourinhanense
2:2
Oct 6, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
SC Lourinhanense vs AD Portomosense
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Lourinhanense 85 / 100
AD Portomosense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Lourinhanense AD Portomosense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Lourinhanense scored in 61% of their last 36 games.

AD Portomosense let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

SC Lourinhanense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

AD Portomosense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Lourinhanense VS AD Portomosense
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 5.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Caldas SC1474317:1137
2Torreense1474322:1436
3Alcanenense1456316:1336
4Fatima1454512:1133
5Riachense1474322:1429
6SC Lourinhanense1436511:1628
7Carregado1443716:2124
8AD Portomosense1413105:2112