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SC Lourinhanense vs Uniao Almeirim

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group F 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Lourinhanense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group F 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Lourinhanense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
SC Lourinhanense
33%
Draws
27%
Uniao Almeirim
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: SC Lourinhanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Uniao Almeirim have won more games recently than SC Lourinhanense.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on SC Lourinhanense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group F 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
SC Lourinhanense Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao Almeirim Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Lourinhanense Uniao Almeirim
Matches Played 28 23
Wins 3 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
SC Lourinhanense vs Uniao Almeirim
4:1
Feb 16, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Uniao Almeirim vs SC Lourinhanense
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Lourinhanense 50 / 100
Uniao Almeirim 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Lourinhanense Uniao Almeirim

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Uniao Almeirim conceded in 78% of 23 recent games.

Uniao Almeirim lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SC Lourinhanense scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Lourinhanense VS Uniao Almeirim
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Torreense20153237:1048
2Alverca20152338:1047
3Santarem2096532:2433
4Caldas SC2093825:2530
5GS Loures2085719:2029
6Sintrense20901128:3227
7Sacavenense2058720:2323
8Pero Pinheiro2056910:1721
91º Dezembro2056917:2621
10Uniao Almeirim20431315:3015
11SC Lourinhanense20261219:4312
12Fatima00000:00