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SC Mirandela vs Chaves B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
SC Mirandela Logo

SC Mirandela

2 - 1
FT
Chaves B Logo

Chaves B

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Pedro J.
42' Event
Abazaj R.
61' Event
Giordano Giuntini Santiago L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between SC Mirandela and Chaves B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Mirandela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
SC Mirandela
15%
Draws
51%
Chaves B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Chaves B's 1.4 goals per match outpaces what SC Mirandela have produced (0.77).
  • Win probability leans SC Mirandela's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
SC Mirandela Clean Sheet 19%
Chaves B Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Mirandela Chaves B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 2 9
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.77 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.93 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs SC Mirandela
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Chaves B
2:1
May 10, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Chaves B
0:0
Jan 12, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs SC Mirandela
4:1
Feb 17, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Chaves B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Mirandela Compare

Top Goalscorer Abazaj R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Giordano Giuntini Santiago L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Chaves B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Mirandela 36 / 100
Chaves B 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Mirandela Chaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chaves B has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

SC Mirandela scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: SC Mirandela remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Mirandela VS Chaves B
0.86 Goals Scored 1.75
0.86 Goals Conceded 1
57% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Mirandela

(Home)
18 Apr
Brito
2 : 0
SC Mirandela
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
SC Vianense
1 : 0
SC Mirandela
22 Mar
SC Mirandela
0 : 1
Tirsense
15 Mar
Chaves B
1 : 2
SC Mirandela
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Chaves B

(Away)
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Vinhais
1 : 2
Chaves B
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
AD Limianos
3 : 1
Chaves B
08 Jul
Chaves
1 : 0
Chaves B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)