Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Penedense vs ASA

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas Estádio Alfredo Leahy, Penedo
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
da Conceicao Honorato E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
SC Penedense
30%
Draws
47%
ASA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ASA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Penedense haven't matched ASA's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans ASA's way, sitting at 40%.
  • ASA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor ASA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and ASA have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
SC Penedense Clean Sheet 22%
ASA Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Penedense ASA
Matches Played 31 40
Wins 5 21
Draws 9 13
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.45 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Copa Alagoas
SC Penedense vs ASA
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Alagoano
ASA vs SC Penedense
2:0
Jul 13, 2025 Serie D
SC Penedense vs ASA
0:1
May 3, 2025 Serie D
ASA vs SC Penedense
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Club Friendly
SC Penedense vs ASA
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Penedense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

ASA Compare

Top Goalscorer da Conceicao Honorato E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Penedense 29 / 100
ASA 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Penedense ASA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Penedense found the back of the net in 32% of recent matches (31 games).

ASA has conceded goals in 50% of their last 40 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

SC Penedense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS ASA
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Penedense

(Home)
18 Mar
SC Penedense
2 : 2
Zumbi
02 Mar
SC Penedense
0 : 1
ASA
25 Feb
Londrina
1 : 0
SC Penedense
21 Feb
Miguelense
0 : 1
SC Penedense
07 Feb
ASA
2 : 0
SC Penedense
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ASA

(Away)
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
2 CRB 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
3 Coruripe 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
4 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 4 0 3 1 4:7 3
5 Dimensao Capela 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
6 Alianca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 5 4 1 0 10:1 13
2 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
3 Zumbi 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
4 Murici 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
5 SC Penedense 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
6 Miguelense 5 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)