Sport Picks
SC Poltava vs FC Chernihiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Persha Liga Lokomotyv Stadium, Poltava 
Match Events
2'
2'
Galoyan S.
21'
21'
Kononov M.
53'
53'
Serdyuk M.
AI Match Summary
The Persha Liga game between SC Poltava and FC Chernihiv finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Poltava.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Poltava
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- FC Chernihiv carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans SC Poltava's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 68%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SC Poltava | FC Chernihiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2026 Persha Liga
SC Poltava vs FC Chernihiv
3:2
Nov 25, 2023 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs SC Poltava
2:2
Sep 23, 2023 Persha Liga
SC Poltava vs FC Chernihiv
2:0
Nov 20, 2022 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs SC Poltava
0:1
Oct 1, 2022 Persha Liga
SC Poltava vs FC Chernihiv
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SC Poltava Compare
Top Goalscorer Kononov M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kasimov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
FC Chernihiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Galoyan S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Serdyuk M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SC Poltava 77 / 100
FC Chernihiv 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SC Poltava FC Chernihiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SC Poltava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Chernihiv let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
SC Poltava went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: FC Chernihiv has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
SC Poltava VS FC Chernihiv
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
SC Poltava
(Home) 02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
26 Sept
Kulikiv
2 : 1 SC Poltava
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1 SC Poltava
04 Sept
SC Poltava
0 : 0 Inhulets
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
04 Sept
SC Poltava
0 : 0 Inhulets
15 Aug
SC Poltava
0 : 0 UCSA
01 Aug
SC Poltava
1 : 1 Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 3
FC Chernihiv
(Away) 02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
29 Aug
Oleksandriya
1 : 0 FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 7
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
29 Aug
Oleksandriya
1 : 0 FC Chernihiv
23 Aug
LSTM Lutsk
1 : 2 FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Oleksandriya | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 19 |
| 3 | SC Poltava | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Kulikiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 17 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Fenix Mariupol | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Chernihiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 15 | Zhytomyr 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Probiy Horodenka | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:27 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
