Sport Picks

Ukraine

Premier League 2025/2026 Zirka Stadium

Kryvbas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SC Poltava play Kryvbas in the Premier League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, SC Poltava averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Kryvbas averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. In past meetings, SC Poltava won 0, Kryvbas won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for SC Poltava and 2.31 for Kryvbas. This points to a Kryvbas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

SC Poltava

29%

Draws

50%

Kryvbas

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Kryvbas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

SC Poltava picked up more points recently compared to Kryvbas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 2.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

SC Poltava Clean Sheet 10%

Kryvbas Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SC Poltava	Kryvbas
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	3	8
Draws	6	11
Losses	21	9
Goals Scored	0.97	1.61
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.64
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Premier League

SC Poltava vs Kryvbas

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 4 - 1

3:3

Nov 1, 2025 Premier League

Kryvbas vs SC Poltava

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Poltava Compare

Top Goalscorer Kotsyumaka I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sukhoruchko D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Kryvbas Compare

Top Goalscorer Paraco C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Seck A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Poltava 21 / 100

Kryvbas 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SC Poltava Kryvbas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kryvbas or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +61.5%

7.69

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SC Poltava attacking → ← attacking Kryvbas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Poltava scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Kryvbas let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

SC Poltava went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kryvbas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 35

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Shakhtar	30	22	6	2	71:21	72
2	LNZ Cherkasy	30	18	6	6	39:17	60
3	Polissya Zhytomyr	30	18	5	7	51:21	59
4	Dynamo Kyiv	30	17	6	7	66:36	57
5	FC Kharkiv	30	13	12	5	36:19	51
6	Kolos Kovalivka	30	13	10	7	30:25	49
7	Kryvbas	30	13	9	8	53:46	48
8	Zorya	30	12	10	8	42:36	46
9	Karpaty Lviv	30	10	11	9	40:31	41
10	Epitsentr	30	8	8	14	36:45	32
11	Veres Rivne	30	7	10	13	26:40	31
12	Obolon	30	7	10	13	28:49	31
13	Kudrivka	30	7	7	16	32:48	28
14	Rukh Lviv	30	6	3	21	20:51	21
15	Oleksandriya	30	3	8	19	24:58	17
16	SC Poltava	30	2	7	21	23:74	13