Sport Picks
SC Poltava vs Metalist Kharkiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Persha Liga Lokomotyv Stadium, Poltava 
Match Events
13'
13'
Seytkhalilov S.
19'
19'
Porokh B.
42'
42'
Porokh B.
AI Match Summary
The Persha Liga game between SC Poltava and Metalist Kharkiv finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Poltava.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Poltava
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Metalist Kharkiv carry the better recent record into this one.
- 44% — that's where the model lands on SC Poltava taking it.
- Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors SC Poltava here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 68%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SC Poltava | Metalist Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Persha Liga
SC Poltava vs Metalist Kharkiv
3:0
May 24, 2025 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs SC Poltava
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Persha Liga
SC Poltava vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SC Poltava Compare
Top Goalscorer Seytkhalilov S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kobzar B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Metalist Kharkiv Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SC Poltava 59 / 100
Metalist Kharkiv 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SC Poltava Metalist Kharkiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SC Poltava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Metalist Kharkiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.67 goals.
SC Poltava found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (28 games).
SC Poltava went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
SC Poltava VS Metalist Kharkiv
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
SC Poltava
(Home) 10 Oct
Probiy Horodenka
3 : 2 SC Poltava
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
26 Sept
Kulikiv
2 : 1 SC Poltava
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1 SC Poltava
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
04 Sept
SC Poltava
0 : 0 Inhulets
15 Aug
SC Poltava
0 : 0 UCSA
01 Aug
SC Poltava
1 : 1 Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 3
Metalist Kharkiv
(Away) 09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2 Victoria
03 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
09 Sept
Victoria
0 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
23 Aug
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 3 | Oleksandriya | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:10 | 19 |
| 4 | SC Poltava | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Fenix Mariupol | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 18 |
| 6 | Kulikiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 17 |
| 7 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 8 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 9 | Metalist Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Inhulets | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 14 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Chernihiv | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 15 | Probiy Horodenka | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:29 | 8 |
| 16 | Zhytomyr 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
