Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Poltava vs UCSA

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga Lokomotyv Stadium, Poltava
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Poltava host UCSA in the Persha Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. SC Poltava have averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded recently, against UCSA's 0.75 scored and 2.13 conceded. Past meetings favor SC Poltava slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2024, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.38, favoring UCSA. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
SC Poltava
35%
Draws
35%
UCSA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Poltava haven't matched UCSA's recent run of results.
  • Model gives SC Poltava a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 17%
UCSA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Poltava UCSA
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 3 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2024 Persha Liga
SC Poltava vs UCSA
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 Persha Liga
UCSA vs SC Poltava
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Poltava 41 / 100
UCSA 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Poltava UCSA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCSA let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

SC Poltava has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

SC Poltava scored in 52% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Poltava VS UCSA
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Poltava

(Home)
01 Aug
SC Poltava
1 : 1
Nyva Ternopil
25 Jul
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0 : 3
SC Poltava
01 Jul
Oleksandriya
5 : 2
SC Poltava
23 May
Epitsentr
0 : 0
SC Poltava
16 May
SC Poltava
0 : 2
Dynamo Kyiv
Page 1 of 6

UCSA

(Away)
31 Jul
UCSA
4 : 4
Oleksandriya
25 Jul
Zhytomyr 2
2 : 2
UCSA
10 Jul
Obolon
0 : 0
UCSA
04 Jul
Veres Rivne
3 : 0
UCSA
01 Jun
UCSA
3 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 SC Poltava 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Inhulets 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
4 Kulikiv 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 Metalist Kharkiv 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
6 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
7 Kolos Kovalivka 2 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
8 Oleksandriya 2 0 2 0 5:5 2
9 UCSA 2 0 2 0 6:6 2
10 Lokomotyv Kyiv 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
11 Nyva Ternopil 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
12 FC Chernihiv 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
13 Zhytomyr 2 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
14 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
15 Probiy Horodenka 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
16 Fenix Mariupol 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)