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SC Praiense vs Lusitano GC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 game between SC Praiense and Lusitano GC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Praiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
SC Praiense
33%
Draws
27%
Lusitano GC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: SC Praiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lusitano GC come out ahead of SC Praiense on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on SC Praiense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
SC Praiense Clean Sheet 68%
Lusitano GC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Praiense Lusitano GC
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 11 23
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SC Praiense vs Lusitano GC
1:0
Oct 30, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano GC vs SC Praiense
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Praiense 50 / 100
Lusitano GC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Praiense Lusitano GC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Praiense scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Lusitano GC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 43 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

SC Praiense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lusitano GC
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico CP26157443:2252
2Lusitano GC26156535:2251
3Juv. Evora26137637:1646
4CD Rabo Peixe26136733:1945
5Imortal26912531:2239
6Fabril do Barreiro26116931:2639
7Vasco da Gama Vidigueira26109737:3339
8Serpa261061044:3636
9Oriental Dragon261061035:3636
10SC Praiense26971031:3234
11Esperanca de Lagos26710928:3831
12SC Angrense26451717:4617
13Olhanense26521918:5017
14Ferreiras26371617:3916