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SC Rio Grande vs EC Novo Horizonte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Silva Jandrey dos Santos A.
76' Event
dos Santos da Silveira R.
82' Event
Almeida de Jesus F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 3 game between SC Rio Grande and EC Novo Horizonte finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EC Novo Horizonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
SC Rio Grande
15%
Draws
85%
EC Novo Horizonte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Novo Horizonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • EC Novo Horizonte haven't matched SC Rio Grande's recent run of results.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
SC Rio Grande Clean Sheet 18%
EC Novo Horizonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Rio Grande EC Novo Horizonte
Matches Played 27 13
Wins 6 1
Draws 3 2
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.78 0.31
Goals Conceded 1.63 3.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Gaucho 3
SC Rio Grande vs EC Novo Horizonte
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Rio Grande Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

EC Novo Horizonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva Jandrey dos Santos A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader dos Santos da Silveira R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Rio Grande 32 / 100
EC Novo Horizonte 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Rio Grande EC Novo Horizonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Novo Horizonte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: EC Novo Horizonte conceded in 92% of 13 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: EC Novo Horizonte has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

SC Rio Grande scored in 52% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Rio Grande VS EC Novo Horizonte
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Rio Grande

(Home)
30 Sept
Cruz Alta
4 : 0
SC Rio Grande
27 Sept
Riograndense
2 : 1
SC Rio Grande
19 Sept
SC Rio Grande
1 : 2
EC Novo Horizonte
13 Sept
SC Rio Grande
0 : 2
SC Sao Paulo
06 Sept
Panambi
4 : 0
SC Rio Grande
Page 1 of 6

EC Novo Horizonte

(Away)
07 Oct
EC Novo Horizonte
0 : 9
Real SC
30 Sept
EC Novo Horizonte
0 : 2
Clube 1992
19 Sept
SC Rio Grande
1 : 2
EC Novo Horizonte
13 Sept
EC Novo Horizonte
1 : 3
Panambi
05 Sept
Riograndense
3 : 0
EC Novo Horizonte
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panambi 7 5 2 0 15:6 17
2 Real SC 6 4 2 0 23:4 14
3 SC Sao Paulo 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
4 Cruz Alta 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
5 Futvida 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
6 Farroupilha 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
7 Riograndense 7 2 1 4 6:10 7
8 Clube 1992 7 2 0 5 9:11 6
9 EC Novo Horizonte 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
10 SC Rio Grande 6 0 0 6 3:16 0
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)