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SC Rio Grande vs SC Sao Paulo

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Salles Ferreira Schmidhauser L.
71' Event
Carlinhos
80' Event
Roig H. M.

AI Match Summary

SC Sao Paulo in this Gaucho 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Sao Paulo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
SC Rio Grande
11%
Draws
80%
SC Sao Paulo
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: SC Sao Paulo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC Sao Paulo lately — more wins on the board than SC Rio Grande.
  • Model gives SC Sao Paulo a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gaucho 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SC Sao Paulo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
SC Rio Grande Clean Sheet 19%
SC Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Rio Grande SC Sao Paulo
Matches Played 16 27
Wins 4 10
Draws 1 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs SC Rio Grande
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Gaucho 3
SC Rio Grande vs SC Sao Paulo
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 Gaucho 3
SC Rio Grande vs SC Sao Paulo
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs SC Rio Grande
3:0
Aug 2, 2021 Club Friendly
SC Sao Paulo vs SC Rio Grande
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Rio Grande Compare

Top Goalscorer Salles Ferreira Schmidhauser L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

SC Sao Paulo Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlinhos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roig H. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Rio Grande 12 / 100
SC Sao Paulo 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Rio Grande SC Sao Paulo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SC Sao Paulo conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

SC Rio Grande scored in 50% of their last 16 games.

SC Rio Grande went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Rio Grande VS SC Sao Paulo
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Rio Grande

(Home)
30 Nov
EC Guarani
4 : 0
SC Rio Grande
23 Nov
SC Rio Grande
0 : 2
EC Guarani
16 Nov
SC Rio Grande
2 : 1
Riograndense
09 Nov
SC Sao Paulo
1 : 0
SC Rio Grande
25 Oct
SC Rio Grande
3 : 1
Sao Gabriel
Page 1 of 4

SC Sao Paulo

(Away)
30 Nov
SC Sao Paulo
1 : 1
Apafut
23 Nov
Apafut
1 : 0
SC Sao Paulo
16 Nov
Sao Gabriel
0 : 5
SC Sao Paulo
09 Nov
SC Sao Paulo
1 : 0
SC Rio Grande
26 Oct
Riograndense
0 : 1
SC Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense632111:811
2Real SC62317:59
3EC Guarani62316:49
4Apafut60243:102
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Riograndense63218:411
2SC Sao Paulo62138:97
3SC Rio Grande61145:104
4Farroupilha63216:43
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2024 (Play Offs)