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Stadium Background

SC Sagamihara vs Tochigi City

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
SC Sagamihara Logo

SC Sagamihara

1 - 0
FT
Tochigi City Logo

Tochigi City

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Chinen T.
Own Goal
24'
Sub
Ando T. In: Sasaki K.
Out: Ando T.
25'
Inui T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SC Sagamihara in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Sagamihara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
SC Sagamihara
30%
Draws
31%
Tochigi City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Sagamihara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • SC Sagamihara average 1.86 goals a game right now, well clear of Tochigi City's 1.59.
  • Win probability leans SC Sagamihara's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Tochigi City have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 68%
Tochigi City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Sagamihara Tochigi City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 3 1
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.86 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 J2/J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Tochigi City
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tochigi City vs SC Sagamihara
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Tochigi City
0:5
Feb 15, 2025 J3 League
Tochigi City vs SC Sagamihara
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Sagamihara 68 / 100
Tochigi City 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Sagamihara Tochigi City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Sagamihara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Sagamihara scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Tochigi City has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: SC Sagamihara remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Sagamihara VS Tochigi City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Sagamihara

(Home)
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2
SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3
SC Sagamihara
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
02 Sept
SC Sagamihara
0 : 3
Iwata
Page 1 of 6

Tochigi City

(Away)
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0
Tochigi City
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1
Tochigi City
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
12 Sept
Toyama
0 : 0
Tochigi City
06 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 4
Tochigi City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)