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SC Sagamihara vs Vegalta Sendai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Pytlik K.
30'
Tokida M.
45'
Takano R.

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between SC Sagamihara and Vegalta Sendai finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vegalta Sendai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
SC Sagamihara
30%
Draws
39%
Vegalta Sendai
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vegalta Sendai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Vegalta Sendai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 10%
Vegalta Sendai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Sagamihara Vegalta Sendai
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 21
Draws 3 2
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.9 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 J2/J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Vegalta Sendai
0:3
Mar 14, 2026 J2/J3 League
Vegalta Sendai vs SC Sagamihara
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Sagamihara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Vegalta Sendai Compare

Top Goalscorer Igarashi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Umeki T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Sagamihara 30 / 100
Vegalta Sendai 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Sagamihara Vegalta Sendai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SC Sagamihara scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Vegalta Sendai conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: SC Sagamihara remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Sagamihara VS Vegalta Sendai
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Sagamihara

(Home)
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0
FC Osaka
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2
SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3
SC Sagamihara
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 6

Vegalta Sendai

(Away)
04 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1
Iwata
26 Sept
Iwaki
0 : 2
Vegalta Sendai
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
13 Sept
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
09 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)