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SC Sao Paulo vs Farroupilha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Cauan
(Penalty)
69' Event
Gomes V.
85' Event
Cauan

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 3 game between SC Sao Paulo and Farroupilha finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Sao Paulo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
SC Sao Paulo
15%
Draws
28%
Farroupilha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Sao Paulo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Sao Paulo come out ahead of Farroupilha on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans SC Sao Paulo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
SC Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 20%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Sao Paulo Farroupilha
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.31 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs Farroupilha
2:1
Oct 23, 2024 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs Farroupilha
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Gaucho 3
Farroupilha vs SC Sao Paulo
1:1
Oct 21, 2023 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs Farroupilha
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Gaucho 3
Farroupilha vs SC Sao Paulo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Sao Paulo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cauan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Sao Paulo 85 / 100
Farroupilha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Sao Paulo Farroupilha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Sao Paulo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Farroupilha has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

SC Sao Paulo scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

SC Sao Paulo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Sao Paulo VS Farroupilha
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Sao Paulo

(Home)
07 Oct
Clube 1992
1 : 3
SC Sao Paulo
30 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
3 : 1
Riograndense
27 Sept
Panambi
1 : 0
SC Sao Paulo
20 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Farroupilha
13 Sept
SC Rio Grande
0 : 2
SC Sao Paulo
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Farroupilha

(Away)
30 Sept
Real SC
4 : 0
Farroupilha
26 Sept
Farroupilha
2 : 1
Cruz Alta
20 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Farroupilha
12 Sept
Farroupilha
0 : 2
Futvida
06 Sept
Clube 1992
1 : 2
Farroupilha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panambi 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Real SC 5 4 1 0 20:1 13
3 SC Sao Paulo 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
4 Cruz Alta 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
5 Futvida 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
6 Riograndense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
7 Farroupilha 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
8 Clube 1992 6 1 0 5 7:11 3
9 EC Novo Horizonte 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
10 SC Rio Grande 5 0 0 5 2:14 0
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)