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SC Sao Paulo vs Gremio 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa FGF 2024 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
SC Sao Paulo
15%
Draws
26%
Gremio 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Sao Paulo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC Sao Paulo lately — more wins on the board than Gremio 2.
  • Win probability leans SC Sao Paulo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • SC Sao Paulo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
SC Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Sao Paulo Gremio 2
Matches Played 26 8
Wins 9 3
Draws 5 1
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.15 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.54 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2024 Copa FGF
SC Sao Paulo vs Gremio 2
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Sao Paulo 85 / 100
Gremio 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Sao Paulo Gremio 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Sao Paulo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Sao Paulo's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gremio 2 conceded in 63% of 8 recent games.

Recent resilience: SC Sao Paulo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Gremio 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Sao Paulo VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Sao Paulo

(Home)
30 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
3 : 1
Riograndense
27 Sept
Panambi
1 : 0
SC Sao Paulo
20 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Farroupilha
13 Sept
SC Rio Grande
0 : 2
SC Sao Paulo
06 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
1 : 2
Cruz Alta
Page 1 of 6

Gremio 2

(Away)
09 Oct
Gremio 2
3 : 1
Aimore
03 Oct
SC Sao Paulo
0 : 0
Gremio 2
25 Sept
Gremio 2
1 : 3
SC Gaucho
22 Sept
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 0
Gremio 2
18 Sept
Internacional 2
2 : 1
Gremio 2
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Sao Jose (PA) 8 5 3 0 15:6 18
2 Ypiranga FC 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
3 EC Juventude 2 8 4 0 4 10:11 12
4 SC Gaucho 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
5 Passo Fundo 8 3 3 2 11:10 12
6 Internacional 2 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
7 Aimore 8 3 1 4 15:13 10
8 Gremio 2 8 3 1 4 7:8 10
9 SC Sao Paulo 8 0 1 7 4:28 1
Promotion - Copa FGF 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa FGF 2024 (Play Offs)