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SC St. Veit vs TSV Grafenstein - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Karnten
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC St. Veit host TSV Grafenstein in the Karnten. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: SC St. Veit at 2.41 goals for, 1.48 against; TSV Grafenstein at 2.21 for, 1.66 against. Head-to-head, SC St. Veit have won 1 to TSV Grafenstein's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 2.38 vs 1.94, favoring SC St. Veit. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
SC St. Veit
20%
Draws
35%
TSV Grafenstein
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC St. Veit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC St. Veit come out ahead of TSV Grafenstein on wins alone.
  • SC St. Veit are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Karnten form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
SC St. Veit Clean Sheet 10%
TSV Grafenstein Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC St. Veit TSV Grafenstein
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.41 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Karnten
SC St. Veit vs TSV Grafenstein
3:1
Aug 30, 2025 Karnten
TSV Grafenstein vs SC St. Veit
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC St. Veit 74 / 100
TSV Grafenstein 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC St. Veit TSV Grafenstein

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC St. Veit Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC St. Veit scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

SC St. Veit went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

TSV Grafenstein let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

SC St. Veit VS TSV Grafenstein
3.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

SC St. Veit

(Home)
09 Oct
SC St. Veit
3 : 1
Launsdorf
03 Oct
SC Landskron
2 : 4
SC St. Veit
25 Sept
SC St. Veit
2 : 2
Matrei
18 Sept
SV Spittal
0 : 3
SC St. Veit
11 Sept
SC St. Veit
4 : 0
SGA Sirnitz
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TSV Grafenstein

(Away)
03 Oct
TSV Grafenstein
2 : 2
Dellach/Gail
26 Sept
Launsdorf
3 : 1
TSV Grafenstein
18 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
6 : 2
Saint Michael Lavanttal
13 Sept
SC Landskron
1 : 4
TSV Grafenstein
04 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
4 : 1
Nussdorf
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