Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Staaken vs Wismut Gera

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV - Relegation
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Freiwald F.
90' Event
Jaekel F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
SC Staaken
15%
Draws
0%
Wismut Gera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Staaken

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Wismut Gera haven't matched SC Staaken's recent run of results.
  • SC Staaken are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • SC Staaken have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor SC Staaken, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
SC Staaken Clean Sheet 10%
Wismut Gera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Staaken Wismut Gera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 2 3
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.7 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.4 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Oberliga NOFV - Relegation
SC Staaken vs Wismut Gera
2:0
Jun 4, 2025 Oberliga NOFV - Relegation
Wismut Gera vs SC Staaken
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Staaken Compare

Top Goalscorer Freiwald F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaekel F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Wismut Gera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Staaken 83 / 100
Wismut Gera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Staaken Wismut Gera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Staaken Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wismut Gera has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Wismut Gera lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SC Staaken scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

SC Staaken VS Wismut Gera
2.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Staaken

(Home)
17 Jan
Rsv Eintracht
5 : 2
SC Staaken
07 Jun
SC Staaken
2 : 0
Wismut Gera
04 Jun
Wismut Gera
1 : 2
SC Staaken
31 May
Berliner AK 07
2 : 0
SC Staaken
23 May
SC Staaken
2 : 0
Wismar
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Wismut Gera

(Away)
26 Jul
Auerbach
8 : 2
Wismut Gera
07 Jun
SC Staaken
2 : 0
Wismut Gera
04 Jun
Wismut Gera
1 : 2
SC Staaken
31 May
Wismut Gera
3 : 4
Auerbach
25 May
Magdeburg II
4 : 2
Wismut Gera
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Wismut Gera 1
SC Staaken 4