Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC St.Tonis vs Hamborn

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Noubissi Noukumo J.
54' Event
Noubissi Noukumo J.

AI Match Summary

SC St.Tonis in this Oberliga Niederrhein 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC St.Tonis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
SC St.Tonis
20%
Draws
34%
Hamborn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC St.Tonis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC St.Tonis lately — more wins on the board than Hamborn.
  • Model gives SC St.Tonis a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
SC St.Tonis Clean Sheet 20%
Hamborn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC St.Tonis Hamborn
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 20 6
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.36 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.95 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2024 Club Friendly
Hamborn vs SC St.Tonis
7:0
Mar 3, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SC St.Tonis vs Hamborn
2:0
Sep 10, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Hamborn vs SC St.Tonis
2:1
May 18, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Hamborn vs SC St.Tonis
1:1
Nov 13, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
SC St.Tonis vs Hamborn
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC St.Tonis Compare

Top Goalscorer Noubissi Noukumo J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Hamborn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC St.Tonis 40 / 100
Hamborn 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC St.Tonis Hamborn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC St.Tonis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC St.Tonis's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Hamborn has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

SC St.Tonis has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC St.Tonis VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC St.Tonis

(Home)
18 Sept
Schonnebeck
3 : 1
SC St.Tonis
13 Sept
SC St.Tonis
2 : 1
Wuppertaler
09 Sept
Juchen-Garzweiler
1 : 3
SC St.Tonis
04 Sept
Germania Ratingen
1 : 1
SC St.Tonis
30 Aug
SC St.Tonis
3 : 3
FC Monheim
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Hamborn

(Away)
04 Aug
Hamborn
7 : 0
SC St.Tonis
02 Jun
Schonnebeck
4 : 1
Hamborn
26 May
Hamborn
3 : 1
Germania Ratingen
12 May
Mulheimer FC 97
4 : 3
Hamborn
08 May
Frintrop
4 : 0
Hamborn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baumberg 32 21 4 7 74:33 67
2 Schonnebeck 32 18 6 8 71:46 60
3 Uerdingen 32 18 4 10 56:40 58
4 SW Essen 32 16 5 11 60:44 53
5 Homberg 32 16 4 12 52:42 52
6 Hilden 32 15 7 10 57:49 52
7 Germania Ratingen 32 15 6 11 55:48 51
8 Sonsbeck 32 13 5 14 50:48 44
9 Buderich 32 13 3 16 52:51 42
10 SC St.Tonis 32 12 5 15 56:59 41
11 Union Nettetal 32 11 7 14 47:62 40
12 Mulheimer FC 97 32 10 6 16 51:61 36
13 Kleve 32 9 8 15 33:56 35
14 Meerbusch 32 9 7 16 52:62 34
15 TVD Velbert 32 7 13 12 50:65 34
16 Frintrop 32 8 9 15 42:59 33
17 Hamborn 32 6 11 15 36:69 29
18 Straelen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2024/2025 (Main)