Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Velbert vs SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Velbert play SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord in the Oberliga Niederrhein 2021/2022. SC Velbert are favorites here. Recently, SC Velbert averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.58 conceded. SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord averaged 1.83 goals scored and 2.34 conceded. In past meetings, SC Velbert won 1, SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 10, 2022 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for SC Velbert and 1.00 for SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord. This points to a SC Velbert double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
SC Velbert
25%
Draws
15%
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: SC Velbert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Velbert picked up more points recently compared to SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
SC Velbert Clean Sheet 23%
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Velbert SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.58 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord vs SC Velbert
3:1
Mar 6, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
SC Velbert vs SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord
3:1
Mar 28, 2021 Oberliga Niederrhein
SC Velbert vs SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord
0:0
Oct 18, 2020 Oberliga Niederrhein
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord vs SC Velbert
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Velbert 59 / 100
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Velbert SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Velbert Win (1)
Secondary Pick SC Velbert & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SC Velbert attacking → ← attacking SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Velbert scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

SC Velbert went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 36
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SSVg Velbert22192159:1259
2Bocholt22183179:1657
3Hilden22172356:2153
4Baumberg22141755:3443
5Kleve22125548:2841
6Germania Ratingen22124653:3340
7TVD Velbert22124639:3040
8FC Monheim22113839:2636
9Schonnebeck22105747:3235
10SW Essen22112946:3935
11TuRU Dusseldorf2286829:3230
12Meerbusch22931038:5230
13Union Nettetal22821232:4026
14Kray22731235:5524
15FSV Duisburg22651127:3123
16SC St.Tonis22651131:3923
17Jahn Hiesfeld22721332:4623
18Dusseldorf-West22551226:4620
19Cronenberger22551228:5520
20SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord22521533:6217
21SC Velbert22451326:5717
22SF Niederwenigern22351428:6014
231.FC Monchengladbach22331628:6812